Sep 14, 2017
It was a tough Week 1 as several big names underperformed, got hurt, or both (Tom Brady, David Johnson, and LeVeon Bell just to name a few). But that was then, and this is now (or soon to be now?) and Week 2 has arrived. Here are the players we are targeting this week for DFS formats.
Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers
Rivers had an uneven first week and there were questions heading into the day concerning his revamped offensive line and distribution of targets, but playing on the road in Denver is always a tough assignment. He has a better matchup at home this time around with Miami coming to town. Byron Maxwell is Miami’s top defensive back but his play was shaky enough in preseason for the Dolphins to actually think about benching him so there shouldn’t be much resistance to moving the ball through the air. If Rivers’ line can keep him clean, and he was only sacked once against Denver last week, he should have a nice day and easily outproduce his price point.
James White, New England Patriots
After Julian Edelman’s injury, everyone assumed that Danny Amendola would step in as Brady’s new possession receiver and the New England machine would keep rolling. Well, that was partially true as Amendola as a favorite target of Brady against the Chiefs. But let’s not forget about Super Bowl MVP James White and his elite receiving skills out of the backfield. White has always been an excellent receiver in NE and had 5 targets Thursday night, but this offseason coach Bill Belichick made it a point to diversify the plays run with certain RB personnel, feeling that his play calls had become too predictable with certain packages on the field. Week 1 saw White get 10 carries, second only to Mike Gillislee, and twice as many as the other two backs who saw action. The backfield situation is far from settled in NE, but if White is going to be getting regular carries in addition to his usual pass catching duties, he become a very interesting option. If Amendola remains out with a concussion and now a knee injury too, White and Chris Hogan become very interesting plays. Going to New Orleans, who is also coming off a disappointing opener, there figure to be plenty of points on the board (over/under numbers for that game are somewhere in the mid 50s on most sites and climbing). With a low price point of $4000 in DraftKings, White has a lot of value as a cheap GPP RB option.
Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers
The other high point total projection for the week is for the GB/Atl matchup. Ty didn’t have a very efficient Week 1, but he got a ton of work and held up well in pass protection, which was a concern for him as a converted wide receiver. He scored his lone touchdown on the day from inside the 10 and handled the most touches of his career against a stout Seattle defense. On top of his rushing work, the real reason he should be in line for a great day against the Falcons is his receiving work. Against Seattle he caught all 4 of his targets which will be important against Atlanta. The Falcons still haven’t fixed their issues stopping passes to backs and were hurt repeatedly by Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard. Ty makes for a great play this week in what could be the week’s highest scoring matchup.
Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers
Allen didn’t have the best day against the Denver secondary, but that’s a common refrain. He did amass a team high 10 targets and continued to look healthy and thats the bigger takeaway here. Denver was rolling a lot of help to Chris Harris, who is a tough matchup on his own, but Allen was still able to catch 5 balls for 35 yards and a touchdown. He will have a much more attractive matchup with the Dolphins coming to town. Miami had a good defensive rating against #1 WRs last year but like I mentioned above, Maxwell has seemed to fall out of favor. Allen can put up elite numbers when healthy and DFS formats are perfect for guys like him where you don’t need to make a season long commitment. Plug him in and enjoy the ride while he’s upright.
Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons
So the numbers for Julio’s “rebound” games are everywhere; after a game where he’s held to under 70 yards, he’s gone off for an average line of about 8 catches for 144 yards and a TD last year. Beyond those numbers, Green Bay was 28th against #1 WRs last year per Football Outsiders DVOA. Julio is simply a monster and the Falcons are opening up their new home field and I think they put on a show in an NFC championship game rematch. He should be worth the premium price you’ll have to pay.
Coby Fleener, New Orleans Saints
Fleener saw 6 targets Week 1 and scored a touchdown to go with his team high 54 yards. NO had an ugly game, but Fleener looked good and was able to make tough catches for Brees. For the next couple of weeks, Fleener should be a cheap source of production with Willie Snead serving his suspension, as he had another big game the last time Snead didn’t play, back in Week 3 of 2016 (7 catches for 109 yards and a TD). He will be a very low cost option this week in what is shaping up to be a shootout against a banged up New England defense that got exposed against Kansas City in Week 1. I trust Sean Payton and Drew Brees to exploit the matchup and get Fleener plenty of work on Sunday.Back to DFS